Good morning.
Hermine made landfall in the Big Bend area of Florida late last night as a Cat 1 Hurricane with 80 mph winds. It is currently a tropical storm over Southern Georgia. It is forecast to move through the Carolinas today and tomorrow and then stall off the NE coast early next week as an extra-tropical storm. This could become a huge rainmaker for New Jersey, Long Island and coastal New England with significant beach erosion. (see forecast track below). The low pressure area which I talked about in my last forecast is presently in the mid Atlantic centered around 15 degrees N latitude. It is surrounded by dry air and moderate shear. NHC is only giving it a 20% chance of becoming a tropical depression over the next 5 days as it enters the northern Caribbean Sea. I'll continue to keep an eye on it but hopefully it will not be a threat to South Florida. Elsewhere in the tropics TS Gaston is approaching the Azores and as is weakening and is expected to degenerate to a remnant low tomorrow.
Have a great Labor Day weekend.
Until next time,
Matt.
Hermine made landfall in the Big Bend area of Florida late last night as a Cat 1 Hurricane with 80 mph winds. It is currently a tropical storm over Southern Georgia. It is forecast to move through the Carolinas today and tomorrow and then stall off the NE coast early next week as an extra-tropical storm. This could become a huge rainmaker for New Jersey, Long Island and coastal New England with significant beach erosion. (see forecast track below). The low pressure area which I talked about in my last forecast is presently in the mid Atlantic centered around 15 degrees N latitude. It is surrounded by dry air and moderate shear. NHC is only giving it a 20% chance of becoming a tropical depression over the next 5 days as it enters the northern Caribbean Sea. I'll continue to keep an eye on it but hopefully it will not be a threat to South Florida. Elsewhere in the tropics TS Gaston is approaching the Azores and as is weakening and is expected to degenerate to a remnant low tomorrow.
Have a great Labor Day weekend.
Until next time,
Matt.
