Good afternoon.
Tropical Storm Cristobal just formed in the Bay of Campeche. It is forecast to meander in the southern Bay of Campeche for a few days before eventually drifting north by this weekend.
If you look at the surface map, 3rd diagram you can see strong high pressure over Florida which should protect the state and steer it in the general direction of eastern Texas or Louisiana.
If you look at Wind Shear analysis below, high shear over the Gulf of Mexico should prevent it from becoming too strong. The NHC is currently forecasting it to be either a strong Tropical Storm or Cat 1 Hurricane at landfall late Sunday or early Monday.
I'll be keeping an eye on it however it does not appear to pose a significant risk to Florida at the present time.
Until next time, Matt.
Tropical Storm Cristobal just formed in the Bay of Campeche. It is forecast to meander in the southern Bay of Campeche for a few days before eventually drifting north by this weekend.
If you look at the surface map, 3rd diagram you can see strong high pressure over Florida which should protect the state and steer it in the general direction of eastern Texas or Louisiana.
If you look at Wind Shear analysis below, high shear over the Gulf of Mexico should prevent it from becoming too strong. The NHC is currently forecasting it to be either a strong Tropical Storm or Cat 1 Hurricane at landfall late Sunday or early Monday.
I'll be keeping an eye on it however it does not appear to pose a significant risk to Florida at the present time.
Until next time, Matt.