Good evening.
At 6 PM hurricane Dorian was located at 26.9° north and 78.4° west was stated to be stationary with a minimum pressure of 940 mbs and peak winds of 145 mph. If you look at the water vapor loop below which is current you’ll notice an interesting feature. Over the past hour Dorian has wobbled northward approximately 7 miles and the eye wall for the first time today has lifted off the island of Grand Bahama. Hopefully this trend will persist. Of note for the current latitude the NHC forecast had Dorian at 79.0 W. It is 42 miles east of that now. The NHC‘s track has not changed since this morning and brings Dorian approximately 30-50 miles east of the Florida East Coast. In light of this deviation my current track brings Dorian approximately 70 miles east of the coast line. If this holds Florida would avoid hurricane conditions. It is still way too early to say and we will have to wait until Dorian begins it’s northwest and northern move tomorrow but I’m encouraged by its current position.
I’ll write again tomorrow morning .
Matt.
At 6 PM hurricane Dorian was located at 26.9° north and 78.4° west was stated to be stationary with a minimum pressure of 940 mbs and peak winds of 145 mph. If you look at the water vapor loop below which is current you’ll notice an interesting feature. Over the past hour Dorian has wobbled northward approximately 7 miles and the eye wall for the first time today has lifted off the island of Grand Bahama. Hopefully this trend will persist. Of note for the current latitude the NHC forecast had Dorian at 79.0 W. It is 42 miles east of that now. The NHC‘s track has not changed since this morning and brings Dorian approximately 30-50 miles east of the Florida East Coast. In light of this deviation my current track brings Dorian approximately 70 miles east of the coast line. If this holds Florida would avoid hurricane conditions. It is still way too early to say and we will have to wait until Dorian begins it’s northwest and northern move tomorrow but I’m encouraged by its current position.
I’ll write again tomorrow morning .
Matt.