Good morning.
Just a quick update. So far so good. The combination of strong high pressure over the Atlantic and abundant dust storms over North Africa with resultant abundant Saharan dust and hot dry air over the Atlantic has kept a lid on tropical development in the Atlantic Basin to date.
This has also lead to a hot dry summer for South Florida as well. It will probably take at least 2-3 weeks before we see any significant development as it will take time and several systems to erode the dust that is out there and it continues to move WSW across the Atlantic. In addition the high pressure should keep any systems well south of the US East Coast and Florida for a while. I anticipate that we won't see much until late August / September. As noted earlier the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico will be the areas to watch later in the season, ? September/ October?
Wishing everyone a quiet 2022 Hurricane Season.
Matt.
Just a quick update. So far so good. The combination of strong high pressure over the Atlantic and abundant dust storms over North Africa with resultant abundant Saharan dust and hot dry air over the Atlantic has kept a lid on tropical development in the Atlantic Basin to date.
This has also lead to a hot dry summer for South Florida as well. It will probably take at least 2-3 weeks before we see any significant development as it will take time and several systems to erode the dust that is out there and it continues to move WSW across the Atlantic. In addition the high pressure should keep any systems well south of the US East Coast and Florida for a while. I anticipate that we won't see much until late August / September. As noted earlier the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico will be the areas to watch later in the season, ? September/ October?
Wishing everyone a quiet 2022 Hurricane Season.
Matt.