Good evening,
At 5 pm Dorian was moving slowly west at 8 mph. NHC's track (below) has shifted slightly further east in agreement with the UK model. A reinforcing front currently over the Mississippi Valley moving southeast is anticipated to reinforce the stationary front currently across north-central Florida. This is expected to cause Dorian to turn more northward in two days.
Will write again tomorrow, sooner if things change, but so far so good. On its current track, Florida would avoid hurricane conditions but until it has passed we'll need to keep an eye on it.
Until next time,
Matt
At 5 pm Dorian was moving slowly west at 8 mph. NHC's track (below) has shifted slightly further east in agreement with the UK model. A reinforcing front currently over the Mississippi Valley moving southeast is anticipated to reinforce the stationary front currently across north-central Florida. This is expected to cause Dorian to turn more northward in two days.
Will write again tomorrow, sooner if things change, but so far so good. On its current track, Florida would avoid hurricane conditions but until it has passed we'll need to keep an eye on it.
Until next time,
Matt
