Good morning.
I am writing about an area of disturbed weather in the western Caribbean. The NHC is currently giving it a 20% chance of development in the next 2 days and a 60% chance for development within the next 5 days. It is currently drifting slowly NW and is in an area of high shear. (See Wind Shear Analysis, bottom diagram, everything in red is hostile for development.) As you can see once it enters the Gulf of Mexico the shear will subside and development will be possible. Currently Louisiana appears to be at greatest risk. I'll be keeping an eye on it and will let you know if it develops, or not.
Elsewhere Leslie is moving out to sea, and pulling heat out of the ocean.
Until next time,
Matt.
I am writing about an area of disturbed weather in the western Caribbean. The NHC is currently giving it a 20% chance of development in the next 2 days and a 60% chance for development within the next 5 days. It is currently drifting slowly NW and is in an area of high shear. (See Wind Shear Analysis, bottom diagram, everything in red is hostile for development.) As you can see once it enters the Gulf of Mexico the shear will subside and development will be possible. Currently Louisiana appears to be at greatest risk. I'll be keeping an eye on it and will let you know if it develops, or not.
Elsewhere Leslie is moving out to sea, and pulling heat out of the ocean.
Until next time,
Matt.