Good morning.
H. Rafael remains in the central Gulf of Mexico. The NHC is forecasting ti to meander over the Central and Western Gulf of Mexico for the next several days. As it encounters increasing shear and dry air it is currently forecast to dissipate 5-6 days, possibly sooner. This would be a best case scenario as no one would get a storm. In addition, it will continue to remove significant heat from the Gulf reducing the risk of further storms this year.
The other area mentioned yesterday show no sign of development as it interacts with an upper level low currently over Hispaniola, see below. Lots of shear out there, notice how fast the air is moving, which is good.
Until next time,
Matt.
H. Rafael remains in the central Gulf of Mexico. The NHC is forecasting ti to meander over the Central and Western Gulf of Mexico for the next several days. As it encounters increasing shear and dry air it is currently forecast to dissipate 5-6 days, possibly sooner. This would be a best case scenario as no one would get a storm. In addition, it will continue to remove significant heat from the Gulf reducing the risk of further storms this year.
The other area mentioned yesterday show no sign of development as it interacts with an upper level low currently over Hispaniola, see below. Lots of shear out there, notice how fast the air is moving, which is good.
Until next time,
Matt.
