Good evening.
At 5 pm Irma was located at 22.1 N and 76.5 W and was moving W @ 12 mph. Irma has been moving steadily west today. Over the past few hours it has made a slight northern move however it only appears to be a wobble.
The NHC track has shifted westward and it is now similar to my track as noted this am. The models are coming into good agreement on this however until it is actually happens further model shifting is possible. On the present NHC track it would pass approximately 80 miles to the west of Miami. Even if it did we would still experience significant weather with heavy rain with squalls and almost 24 hours of tropical storm force winds.
Once things become clearer I'll write more specifically what we all can expect, including for different locations.
Have a good night and finish your preparations.
Until tomorrow am, Matt.
At 5 pm Irma was located at 22.1 N and 76.5 W and was moving W @ 12 mph. Irma has been moving steadily west today. Over the past few hours it has made a slight northern move however it only appears to be a wobble.
The NHC track has shifted westward and it is now similar to my track as noted this am. The models are coming into good agreement on this however until it is actually happens further model shifting is possible. On the present NHC track it would pass approximately 80 miles to the west of Miami. Even if it did we would still experience significant weather with heavy rain with squalls and almost 24 hours of tropical storm force winds.
Once things become clearer I'll write more specifically what we all can expect, including for different locations.
Have a good night and finish your preparations.
Until tomorrow am, Matt.