Good morning.
In reviewing the data this morning on Florence it is looking less likely that it will not make landfall. The NHC anticipates it to speed up which it is starting to do and make landfall before the approaching cold front from the west can deflect it out to sea. Of note the NHC is making a special trip today to evaluate the high pressure system over the Mid West that is driving the cold front. That information probably won't be factored into their forecast until this evening. We'll have to see. Of note is that Florence is south of where they had projected it to be at this time on Saturday. This may lead to a shift in the track southward closer to the SC/NC border. There are still numerous variables in play however the Carolinas need to prepare for a major, probable Cat 4 hurricane.
Due to the approaching front it is expected to slow down as it approaches the coast and they currently expect it to stall over land leading to potentially catastrophic flooding.
We'll have to see how things play out but it has the potential to be a devastating event.
Isaac continues to move west. Note some of the models pull it north into the Atlantic, see bottom diagram. Time will tell.
Until next time, Matt.
In reviewing the data this morning on Florence it is looking less likely that it will not make landfall. The NHC anticipates it to speed up which it is starting to do and make landfall before the approaching cold front from the west can deflect it out to sea. Of note the NHC is making a special trip today to evaluate the high pressure system over the Mid West that is driving the cold front. That information probably won't be factored into their forecast until this evening. We'll have to see. Of note is that Florence is south of where they had projected it to be at this time on Saturday. This may lead to a shift in the track southward closer to the SC/NC border. There are still numerous variables in play however the Carolinas need to prepare for a major, probable Cat 4 hurricane.
Due to the approaching front it is expected to slow down as it approaches the coast and they currently expect it to stall over land leading to potentially catastrophic flooding.
We'll have to see how things play out but it has the potential to be a devastating event.
Isaac continues to move west. Note some of the models pull it north into the Atlantic, see bottom diagram. Time will tell.
Until next time, Matt.