Good evening.
There has been an interesting development with Eta over the past few hours. Since 4 pm it has been moving due east at 12 mph and is currently south and east of where the NHC had forecast it to be. The net result of this is that a track a little further south is possible, more in line with my original track near the lower Florida Keys. Its too early to say for sure as it could just represent an eastward wobble and the NHC has not changed their track however the models are now reflecting this change, see below.
If that trend persists my original forecast would hold with winds in the 40s vs the 60s for mainland South Florida, more in the Keys.
We'll know more in the morning and I'll be reviewing data and reporting around 5 am.
I'll probably make three posts tomorrow.
Cross our fingers.
Until next time,
Matt.
There has been an interesting development with Eta over the past few hours. Since 4 pm it has been moving due east at 12 mph and is currently south and east of where the NHC had forecast it to be. The net result of this is that a track a little further south is possible, more in line with my original track near the lower Florida Keys. Its too early to say for sure as it could just represent an eastward wobble and the NHC has not changed their track however the models are now reflecting this change, see below.
If that trend persists my original forecast would hold with winds in the 40s vs the 60s for mainland South Florida, more in the Keys.
We'll know more in the morning and I'll be reviewing data and reporting around 5 am.
I'll probably make three posts tomorrow.
Cross our fingers.
Until next time,
Matt.
