Good morning.
Yesterday afternoon hurricane hunters relocated Laura's eye around 100 miles south of where they had previously thought it was. (See yesterday's forecast about TD# 13 being uncoupled and weak storms being tricky.) This changed everything because as opposed to being in the Atlantic Laura is in the Caribbean. See water vapor loop below. It has moved almost due west over the past 24 hours and is well south of yesterday's forecast track. The current NHC track has it crossing the spines of the Caribbean islands of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and Cuba. This will lead to Laura remaining weak until it emerges into the Gulf of Mexico. It is currently forecast to hit Louisiana as a Cat 1 hurricane. Laura remains weak with multiple vortices moving around its current center and one of the concerns is that we may see new eyes reform after it crosses over the islands which could again change its track. (Like what happened with Isaias.)
On its present track I do not anticipate storm or hurricane conditions in the state of Florida.
Elsewhere all else is quiet. The wave off of Africa, currently in the region of the Cape Verde Islands, is probably already too far north to pose a threat to the US. I'll be watching it but my concern is much less at this time.
Have a good weekend !
Until next time,
Matt.
Yesterday afternoon hurricane hunters relocated Laura's eye around 100 miles south of where they had previously thought it was. (See yesterday's forecast about TD# 13 being uncoupled and weak storms being tricky.) This changed everything because as opposed to being in the Atlantic Laura is in the Caribbean. See water vapor loop below. It has moved almost due west over the past 24 hours and is well south of yesterday's forecast track. The current NHC track has it crossing the spines of the Caribbean islands of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and Cuba. This will lead to Laura remaining weak until it emerges into the Gulf of Mexico. It is currently forecast to hit Louisiana as a Cat 1 hurricane. Laura remains weak with multiple vortices moving around its current center and one of the concerns is that we may see new eyes reform after it crosses over the islands which could again change its track. (Like what happened with Isaias.)
On its present track I do not anticipate storm or hurricane conditions in the state of Florida.
Elsewhere all else is quiet. The wave off of Africa, currently in the region of the Cape Verde Islands, is probably already too far north to pose a threat to the US. I'll be watching it but my concern is much less at this time.
Have a good weekend !
Until next time,
Matt.