Good morning.
Just another quick update. As noted previously it's September and the tropics are becoming more active however both current systems are small and moving out to sea.
We set a record this August, being the first August since they've been tracking storms without a named storm.
Over Africa there are a couple of waves one which should move offshore in about 2-3 days and one in about 8 days I'll be watching them however high pressure is currently relatively weak over the eastern and central Atlantic which should allow them to move northward as well. I don't think we'll see much until mid September/October. If you look at the Saharan Air Layer Analysis below you will see that the SAL is eroding. Each tropical wave/storm does its part in eating away at it. Wind shear is light over the tropical Atlantic and once the air over it moistens the potential for more development will increase. Hopefully they'll continue to move out to sea.
Until next time,
Matt.
Just another quick update. As noted previously it's September and the tropics are becoming more active however both current systems are small and moving out to sea.
We set a record this August, being the first August since they've been tracking storms without a named storm.
Over Africa there are a couple of waves one which should move offshore in about 2-3 days and one in about 8 days I'll be watching them however high pressure is currently relatively weak over the eastern and central Atlantic which should allow them to move northward as well. I don't think we'll see much until mid September/October. If you look at the Saharan Air Layer Analysis below you will see that the SAL is eroding. Each tropical wave/storm does its part in eating away at it. Wind shear is light over the tropical Atlantic and once the air over it moistens the potential for more development will increase. Hopefully they'll continue to move out to sea.
Until next time,
Matt.