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tropical update sunday 10-6-24, 8 pm

10/6/2024

 
Good evening.

Just a quick update. Milton has been steadily intensifying all day and is currently an 85 mph Cat 1 Hurricane. The NHC's track and reasoning have not changed since this morning. The only  thing that has changed is their intensity forecast. They expect it to become a major hurricane tomorrow and peak out with winds of 145 mph, and then weaken to a 120 mph Cat 3 at landfall. Intensity forecasts are very difficult and both a stronger or weaker system could come ashore as discussed this am.

Milton is currently a very small storm with hurricane fore winds only extending 15-20 miles south of the center, none to its north. With a stronger storm forecast the wind field is also forecast to expand and Milton is expected to be much larger at landfall on Wednesday. As things become clearer I will give a more detailed analysis of what people in Florida can expect.

Until next time,

                                                            Matt.

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