Good morning.
At 5 am Sub Tropical storm Alberto was located at 25.0 N and 84.2 W and was moving NNE @ 13 mph with peak winds of 40 mph. Alberto remains in a high shear environment as it moves around the periphery of an upper level low in the central Gulf of Mexico. Alberto continues to move toward the Florida Panhandle and the NHC is now in agreement on this. Of note is that a mid level center of circulation has formed to the NE of the low level center which if it should dominate could shift the models a little further east. Alberto is currently about 270 miles due west of Miami and SE Florida should receive most of its rainfall today. The NHC is currently forcasting Alberto to transition to a Tropical Storm today and have peak winds of 60 mph when it makes landfall along the Florida Panhandle tomorrow. Storm force winds currently extend about 100 miles to the SE and 130 mile to the NE of the center. No storm force winds were noted on the west side of the system due to shear. A Hurricane Hunter aircraft will be investigating the storm this morning and we should get more details. Most importantly about the 2 competing centers of circulation.
Overall not much has changed with Alberto.
Florida should prepare for a wet day today.
My best to all, Matt.
PS. I am unfortunately unable to post graphics today as I am out of town and the computer in my hotel won't allow me to copy images.
At 5 am Sub Tropical storm Alberto was located at 25.0 N and 84.2 W and was moving NNE @ 13 mph with peak winds of 40 mph. Alberto remains in a high shear environment as it moves around the periphery of an upper level low in the central Gulf of Mexico. Alberto continues to move toward the Florida Panhandle and the NHC is now in agreement on this. Of note is that a mid level center of circulation has formed to the NE of the low level center which if it should dominate could shift the models a little further east. Alberto is currently about 270 miles due west of Miami and SE Florida should receive most of its rainfall today. The NHC is currently forcasting Alberto to transition to a Tropical Storm today and have peak winds of 60 mph when it makes landfall along the Florida Panhandle tomorrow. Storm force winds currently extend about 100 miles to the SE and 130 mile to the NE of the center. No storm force winds were noted on the west side of the system due to shear. A Hurricane Hunter aircraft will be investigating the storm this morning and we should get more details. Most importantly about the 2 competing centers of circulation.
Overall not much has changed with Alberto.
Florida should prepare for a wet day today.
My best to all, Matt.
PS. I am unfortunately unable to post graphics today as I am out of town and the computer in my hotel won't allow me to copy images.