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tropical update wednesday 10-7-20, 7:30 am

10/7/2020

 
Good morning.

Hurricane Delta is currently making landfall along the Northern Yucatan Peninsula between Cancun and Cozumel as a Cat 2 hurricane with 100 mph winds. It has weakened overnight with steadily rising barometric pressures.

If you look at the surface map below you can see that building high pressure over Florida is making a Louisiana landfall more likely. High shear and cooler waters in the northern Gulf of Mexico should lead to weakening prior to landfall. It is forecast to strengthen once again to a Cat 4 tomorrow after it moves away from the Yucatan.

Just how strong it is at landfall will depend on how fast it is moving. In general the slower it goes the weaker it should become as it will have more time to be affected by the cooler waters and shear.

We'll have to see.

Elsewhere all is quiet.

Until next time,
                                                                     Matt.

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