Good evening.
Just a quick update on Eta. Eta is currently over north-central Nicaragua as a minimal tropical storm. It should be downgraded to a depression soon. It is currently forecast to re-emerge over the Western Caribbean on Friday and then cross west -central Cuba on Sunday. Shear is extremely high north of Cuba, see bottom diagram, in excess of 70 knots.
The current NHC forecast is a very low probability forecast with a huge spread in the models at 5 days. We probably will not really know much until Friday.
I'll write again on Friday morning.
Until then,
Matt.
Just a quick update on Eta. Eta is currently over north-central Nicaragua as a minimal tropical storm. It should be downgraded to a depression soon. It is currently forecast to re-emerge over the Western Caribbean on Friday and then cross west -central Cuba on Sunday. Shear is extremely high north of Cuba, see bottom diagram, in excess of 70 knots.
The current NHC forecast is a very low probability forecast with a huge spread in the models at 5 days. We probably will not really know much until Friday.
I'll write again on Friday morning.
Until then,
Matt.
