Good morning.
Just a quick statement referring to some interesting data / images.
Below first is the Gulf of Mexico (GOM) Loop Current which carries warm water from the Caribbean into the GOM then passes through the Florida Straits and becomes the Gulf Stream. You can see it well defined along with several warm water eddies in the western GOM.
Next is the Heat Content of the Western Caribbean and the GOM which is a combination of water temperatures and warm water to depths > 100 feet. It shows a huge amount of heat to great depths already (actually to over 300 feet) in the East Central GOM. This is more and further north than is usually seen this time of year.
Next is the Saharan Air layer Analysis. Like last year there have been a lot of dust storms over northern Africa this year with abundant dust and dry air extending over the Tropical and Western Atlantic. (This will make tropical development in these areas difficult.)
The bottom line. The Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean will be the areas to watch June thru November. By late August / September the SAL should be mitigated and we'll be re-evaluating the Atlantic (and the time in between).
Until next time.
Matt.
Just a quick statement referring to some interesting data / images.
Below first is the Gulf of Mexico (GOM) Loop Current which carries warm water from the Caribbean into the GOM then passes through the Florida Straits and becomes the Gulf Stream. You can see it well defined along with several warm water eddies in the western GOM.
Next is the Heat Content of the Western Caribbean and the GOM which is a combination of water temperatures and warm water to depths > 100 feet. It shows a huge amount of heat to great depths already (actually to over 300 feet) in the East Central GOM. This is more and further north than is usually seen this time of year.
Next is the Saharan Air layer Analysis. Like last year there have been a lot of dust storms over northern Africa this year with abundant dust and dry air extending over the Tropical and Western Atlantic. (This will make tropical development in these areas difficult.)
The bottom line. The Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean will be the areas to watch June thru November. By late August / September the SAL should be mitigated and we'll be re-evaluating the Atlantic (and the time in between).
Until next time.
Matt.