Good evening.
I've been trying to get an update out all day however my website was down. I've spent most of the day with tech support and finally have it working again.
I'm writing about "Potential Tropical Cylcone #5" which will probably become a tropical storm early tomorrow. It is currently poorly organized without a distinct center of circulation. Until it has a definite center it will be extremely difficult to predict where it will go. A very strong Bermuda high is forecast to move it quickly to the WNW at 25-30 mph, this will hamper strengthening and it is currently forecast to only be a tropical storm in 5 days. Overall conditions are not very favorable and it is unlikely to become a strong system. We'll probably have a better idea by Friday. Tracks east of Florida, across South Florida or into the Gulf of Mexico are all possible at this time though if you look at the Surface Map below a track west of Florida into the Gulf of Mexico appears more likely however as noted until a true center forms its a crap shoot. I am presently not overly concerned.
The wave in front of it currently over the Lesser Antilles will not likely develop though will moisten the environment in front of PTC 5
I'll write again tomorrow.
Matt.
I've been trying to get an update out all day however my website was down. I've spent most of the day with tech support and finally have it working again.
I'm writing about "Potential Tropical Cylcone #5" which will probably become a tropical storm early tomorrow. It is currently poorly organized without a distinct center of circulation. Until it has a definite center it will be extremely difficult to predict where it will go. A very strong Bermuda high is forecast to move it quickly to the WNW at 25-30 mph, this will hamper strengthening and it is currently forecast to only be a tropical storm in 5 days. Overall conditions are not very favorable and it is unlikely to become a strong system. We'll probably have a better idea by Friday. Tracks east of Florida, across South Florida or into the Gulf of Mexico are all possible at this time though if you look at the Surface Map below a track west of Florida into the Gulf of Mexico appears more likely however as noted until a true center forms its a crap shoot. I am presently not overly concerned.
The wave in front of it currently over the Lesser Antilles will not likely develop though will moisten the environment in front of PTC 5
I'll write again tomorrow.
Matt.