Good evening.
At 5 pm Hurricane Irma was located at 18.8 N & 65.4 W and was moving WNW @ 16 mph.
Though it started a little to the south of the NHC forecast track this am it now back on the NHC's track. If this continues it may miss landfalls in Hispaniola and Cuba which could bring a stronger storm towards the US. Computer models have oscillated today and currently center around a track similar to Hurricane Matthew's from last year. Irma however is a much larger and stronger storm than Matthew was and potentially could have much greater effects. The periphery of the high pressure ridge steering Irma shifted further east since yesterday however with time it will drift back to the west. Just where it is when Irma is in our vicinity will determine how much weather we get. With time the accuracy of the Global Models will increase and we will get a better idea of what to expect .
Irma is currently passing just north of Puerto Rico. This am it was heading straight for it however a distinct wobble this afternoon has pulled it far enough to its north that it should avoid the core of the hurricane. They will probably only experience Cat 1, maybe 2, conditions there.
Hopefully Irma will be as gracious to the rest of us and spare us her worst.
Until tomorrow, Matt.
At 5 pm Hurricane Irma was located at 18.8 N & 65.4 W and was moving WNW @ 16 mph.
Though it started a little to the south of the NHC forecast track this am it now back on the NHC's track. If this continues it may miss landfalls in Hispaniola and Cuba which could bring a stronger storm towards the US. Computer models have oscillated today and currently center around a track similar to Hurricane Matthew's from last year. Irma however is a much larger and stronger storm than Matthew was and potentially could have much greater effects. The periphery of the high pressure ridge steering Irma shifted further east since yesterday however with time it will drift back to the west. Just where it is when Irma is in our vicinity will determine how much weather we get. With time the accuracy of the Global Models will increase and we will get a better idea of what to expect .
Irma is currently passing just north of Puerto Rico. This am it was heading straight for it however a distinct wobble this afternoon has pulled it far enough to its north that it should avoid the core of the hurricane. They will probably only experience Cat 1, maybe 2, conditions there.
Hopefully Irma will be as gracious to the rest of us and spare us her worst.
Until tomorrow, Matt.