Good morning.
Beryl is currently making landfall along the Yucatan Peninsula as a strong Cat 2 hurricane and is currently over Cozumel Mexico. The NHC is forecasting it to make a second landfall early Monday near Brownsville, Tx as an 85 mph Cat 1.
Beryl remains a very compact storm with hurricane force winds only extending 25 miles to the north and 15 miles to the south of the center. It has been encountering significant shear which has caused it to weaken from a Cat 5. Shear is expected to lessen as it approaches Southern Texas and Northern Mexico.
If you look at the water vapor loop below you will notice a wild card has entered into the equation. An upper level low in the SW Gulf of Mexico moving westward. If it is just west of Beryl and close enough, it could move it a little further north on Sunday. If it is very close it could weaken it as well. We'll need to watch this closely. Southern Texas should prepare for a Cat 1 storm and potentially a lot of rain. It will be slowing down as it approaches.
Until next time,
Matt.
Beryl is currently making landfall along the Yucatan Peninsula as a strong Cat 2 hurricane and is currently over Cozumel Mexico. The NHC is forecasting it to make a second landfall early Monday near Brownsville, Tx as an 85 mph Cat 1.
Beryl remains a very compact storm with hurricane force winds only extending 25 miles to the north and 15 miles to the south of the center. It has been encountering significant shear which has caused it to weaken from a Cat 5. Shear is expected to lessen as it approaches Southern Texas and Northern Mexico.
If you look at the water vapor loop below you will notice a wild card has entered into the equation. An upper level low in the SW Gulf of Mexico moving westward. If it is just west of Beryl and close enough, it could move it a little further north on Sunday. If it is very close it could weaken it as well. We'll need to watch this closely. Southern Texas should prepare for a Cat 1 storm and potentially a lot of rain. It will be slowing down as it approaches.
Until next time,
Matt.