Good evening.
Just a quick note. As you can see below the tropics are starting to become active however none of the current systems pose a threat to Florida. Only one should affect the US, TD 9 which is expected to make landfall along the southern Texas coast as a weak, 45 mph, tropical storm bringing much needed rainfall. Flooding will be the main issue.
If you look at the Saharan Air layer Analysis below you can see that the previously extensive area of Saharan dust over the Tropical Atlantic is being eroded. This should allow more systems to start to develop.
If you look at the surface map, bottom diagram, you will notice a couple of changes. First is that strong high pressure is now covering much of the US and is currently protecting Florida, the Carolinas and the rest fo the US east Coast. Second notice that it has moved eastward, beyond the Appalachians. This is a sign that things are starting to change. As a result Florida is currently under the influence of fairly strong northeast and easterly winds. A weak pressure pattern is present over the Western Atlantic, this will allow systems coming off of Africa to move north and east into the open ocean, away from the US.
Note the storms out there at present are good, they all help to dissipate the built up heat in the ocean. In fact the more the better, as long as we have this protective high over us. Once that changes we may feel otherwise.
Until next time,
Matt.
Just a quick note. As you can see below the tropics are starting to become active however none of the current systems pose a threat to Florida. Only one should affect the US, TD 9 which is expected to make landfall along the southern Texas coast as a weak, 45 mph, tropical storm bringing much needed rainfall. Flooding will be the main issue.
If you look at the Saharan Air layer Analysis below you can see that the previously extensive area of Saharan dust over the Tropical Atlantic is being eroded. This should allow more systems to start to develop.
If you look at the surface map, bottom diagram, you will notice a couple of changes. First is that strong high pressure is now covering much of the US and is currently protecting Florida, the Carolinas and the rest fo the US east Coast. Second notice that it has moved eastward, beyond the Appalachians. This is a sign that things are starting to change. As a result Florida is currently under the influence of fairly strong northeast and easterly winds. A weak pressure pattern is present over the Western Atlantic, this will allow systems coming off of Africa to move north and east into the open ocean, away from the US.
Note the storms out there at present are good, they all help to dissipate the built up heat in the ocean. In fact the more the better, as long as we have this protective high over us. Once that changes we may feel otherwise.
Until next time,
Matt.