Good morning.
Since yesterday a few things have changed with regards to the system currently east of the Bahamas.
Most importantly you will notice on the Water Vapor Loop below that the frontal system along the US East Coast has stalled and flattened out now orienting east west rather than north south. This is due to high pressure building over the SE US and the Western Atlantic. See Surface Map below. The net result of this is that it will probably hit the east coast of Florida. Conditions around it are still not ideal as noted yesterday and most of its associated weather remains well east of the center. The key to where it eventually goes will depend on where the center actually is when it forms and how far north it gets before it starts to turn to the west and southwest.
We'll need to keep an eye on it. Its currently almost due east of Miami and heading NW.
Until next time,
Matt.
Since yesterday a few things have changed with regards to the system currently east of the Bahamas.
Most importantly you will notice on the Water Vapor Loop below that the frontal system along the US East Coast has stalled and flattened out now orienting east west rather than north south. This is due to high pressure building over the SE US and the Western Atlantic. See Surface Map below. The net result of this is that it will probably hit the east coast of Florida. Conditions around it are still not ideal as noted yesterday and most of its associated weather remains well east of the center. The key to where it eventually goes will depend on where the center actually is when it forms and how far north it gets before it starts to turn to the west and southwest.
We'll need to keep an eye on it. Its currently almost due east of Miami and heading NW.
Until next time,
Matt.