Good morning.
I'm writing about a couple of areas of disturbed weather in the tropics. Neither at this time appear to pose a significant threat to South Florida.
First is "Potential Tropical Cyclone 6" in the far eastern Atlantic. It is headed WNW and should get caught up in the Mid Atlantic Trough and eventually move north posing no threat to the US.
Second is a tropical wave centered just north of Hispaniola. The NHC is giving it a 10% chance of development over the next 5 days. See Surface Map (second diagram), It should move along the periphery of high pressure to it's north through the Florida Straits into the Gulf of Mexico.
It is currently in a high shear environment, (see 3rd diagram Wind Shear Analysis, everything is red is unfavorable for development) however once it gets into the Gulf of Mexico shear lessens and development will be possible however it won't have a lot of time once it gets there; though water temperatures are warm.
I'll be keeping an eye on it and will write if things should change. South Florida will probably see an increase in shower activity late Sunday and Monday as the wave passes to our south.
Until next time,
Matt.
I'm writing about a couple of areas of disturbed weather in the tropics. Neither at this time appear to pose a significant threat to South Florida.
First is "Potential Tropical Cyclone 6" in the far eastern Atlantic. It is headed WNW and should get caught up in the Mid Atlantic Trough and eventually move north posing no threat to the US.
Second is a tropical wave centered just north of Hispaniola. The NHC is giving it a 10% chance of development over the next 5 days. See Surface Map (second diagram), It should move along the periphery of high pressure to it's north through the Florida Straits into the Gulf of Mexico.
It is currently in a high shear environment, (see 3rd diagram Wind Shear Analysis, everything is red is unfavorable for development) however once it gets into the Gulf of Mexico shear lessens and development will be possible however it won't have a lot of time once it gets there; though water temperatures are warm.
I'll be keeping an eye on it and will write if things should change. South Florida will probably see an increase in shower activity late Sunday and Monday as the wave passes to our south.
Until next time,
Matt.